Emerging Markets

One Year in my Blog Life: Keeping Score at Mobile Point View

Readers from 128 Countries ClusterMap

Journalistic cycles  are often driven by calender milestones so today I celebrate my first anniversary as a blogger--albeit it slightly tardy. 

I started Mobile Point View in April of 2007 primarily to frame and define my "personal brand", project and shape awareness of my industry perspective, e.g. my "thought leadership", and keep my eye  focused on the mobile industry and global business trends with a discipline to discuss my views.

Along the journey I found it also fed internal motivations such as a love/hate relationship with writting, and my wonderlust for "Adventure Roads" and "Adventure Capitalism." Plus, it feeds my spirit to learn more about other cultures and keep my skills sharp in making connections--both technical and human.  I've been told I've got a combinatorial world view which my blogging reflects, being part travelogue, wireless industry plus global commerce analysis, and my passionate interest in high growth markets such as China, Africa, and the Middle East.

Recognitions & Connections

An unexpected turn along the path has been the recognition of my views by technoscenti like Om Malik of DigOm, Gerry Purdee of Forrester Research and mobilista Rudy De Waele. A surprising approach by Mobile Messaging 2.0 to contribute to that corporate sponsored blog has led to additional "thought leadership" and recently my being tapped to be the Managing Editor of Mobile Messaging 2.0. So now I'm a "professional" journalist, meaning my meanderings drive revenue.

Another unexpected consequence of having a cyberspace billboard has been the people I've become acquainted with--gratifyingly in other countries, who have graciously shared their time, interests and expertise with me by reaching out and establishing a connection, especially Lars in Tokyo, Ben in Beijing, Mikki in Hong Kong, Tarek in Egypt, Feng in Beijing, James in London, and Mohammed in Iraq. Reflecting a modicum of success, the connectedness of the mobile industry and power of the internet, the number of others who I have met at conferences who entered a conversation with "I know you, I've read your blog!" has been surprising and energizing.

What I'm most proud of is being relevant and interesting to readers from 128 countries.   

After a year of blogging, I've got a slurry of mixed metrics on total visits (over 100,000 ), page views, time on blog, google juice, etc., but the one which I'm most proud of is the reflection of my reach and global view point.   Sidebar: Visit: Global Point View Ltd. my umbrella company which I consult under while looking for my next industry job. Having readers from so many countries reflects my purpose, passion and pursuits to illuminate the power of the mobile industry and its fundamentally global characteristics. 

Interesting Quirks of Where My Readers Are 

Some interesting aspects of my readership include:  9,600 visits from readers in India, 900 visits from readers in Pakistan, 30 visits from readers in Myanmar, over 740 visits from readers in Iran, and 400 vistis from readers in Nepal. I've got one regular reader in Foggaret el Arab, in the dead middle of Algeria and a population of 4,300. The snowiest reader must be in Bathurst Inlet, Nunavut, Canada--probably someone visiting the Lodge.

I guess that reflects the power of the web, the strength of interest in mobile communications, and once in a while my ability to strike a chord which resonates with a variety of people in diverse international locations

Here's a tally of reader countries as of June 2008

A Year in the Blog Life
Visitors from 128 Countires 
Americas (25) Europe (40) Asia (26) Middle East (11) Africa (26)
US UK Australia Afghanistan Algeria
Barbados Andorra Bangladesh Bahrain Botswana
Bolivia Aserbaijian Brunei Egypt Cameroon
Brazil Austria Cambodia Iran Canary Islands
Canada Azores China Iraq Cote D'Ivoire
Cayman Islands Belgium Fiji Israel Djibouti
Chile Bosnia Guam Jordan Ethopia
Columbia Bulgaria Hong Kong Kuwait Gambia
Costa Rica Czech Republic India Oman Ghana
Dominican Republic Denmark Indonesia Qatar Libya
Ecuador Estonia Japan UAE Madagasacar
Grenada Faeroe  Islands Kazakhsatan Yemen Mali
Guatemala Finland Korea Mauritius
Haiti France Laos Moambique
Honduras Georgia Malaysia Moldova
icaragua Germany Marutius Morocco
Jamiaca Gibraltar Myanmar Mutitania
Martinique Greece Nepal Nigeria
Mexico Iceland New Zealand S. Africa
Paraguay Ireand Pakistan Senegal
Peru Italy Philippines Sudan
Puerto Rico Latvia Singapore Swaziland
St. Vincent Lichtenstein Taiwan Tanzania
Trinidad Lithuania Tajikistan Togo
Urguay Luxemburg Thailand Tunisia
Venezuela Macedonia Uzbekistan Uganda
Mallorca Vietnam Zaire
Malta
Monaco
Netherlands
Norway
Poland
Portugal
Romania
Russia
Serbia
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
Turkey
Ukraine

Now the Dragon eyes the Lion

Is China Mobile in the MTN hunt?

China Mobile has publicly admitted that it is interested in the South African mobile market but has not Cmcclogob yet formalized an offer for MTN, the subject of takeover interest by India's Bharti--see my "Poaching in Africa: Bharti's Hunting MTN."

"China Mobile has not joined the MTN bidding, but we are interested in the South African market and we are looking at various opportunities for entering that market," China Mobile CEO Wang Mtnsa Jianzhou stated today after the company's annual meeting. Earlier this week I relayed that Bharti's approach could spark a bidding war for MTN, citing a UBS report that suggested China Mobile, among others, could be interested in bidding for the operator.

Godzilla chasing Bambi?

According to the GSMA's Wireless Intelligence, China Mobile dominates its domestic market with approximately 385 million subscribers as of end first-quarter 2008. This is almost THREE TIMES theBhartiindustry  combined customer base of both India's Bharti and MTN's multiple operators. Reuters notes that China Mobile has a mixed track record of acquisitions, stating that it came close to buying emerging-markets operator Millicom International Cellular in 2006 before pulling the plug on the deal. In May 2007 it made its first and only overseas acquisition to date, buying Pakistan’s Paktel Ltd from Millicom for US$460 million.

China Mobile was also rumored last year to be eying MTN, but denied at the time that a deal was being considered. In February, China Mobile opened an EMEA headquarters in London, stating that emerging markets in Africa and the Middle East are priorities for the operator this year. We're now in the deny and chaos stage of takeovers. Given China's presence in throughout Africa and it's growing need for core resources it is a natural strategy to purse. 

There are probably two more iterations in this dance, one feigned interest in MTN by a conglomerate, then either admission or escalation regarding a another bid for MTN by Bharti. Too bad all the action is thousands of miles away from the good ol' USA.

MWC: Personalized Messaging & Advertising for Emerging Markets

Jinny Software

JinnyAs part of the cavalcade which is the 2008 Mobile Web Congress I'm getting the privlege to talk with a number of industry leaders heading companies which are driving change within the mobile industry. One which I discovered is Jinny Software, a "personal messaging services company" according to their CEO, Max Wilke, a veteran of the wireless industry. The company provides hardware and software solutions to operators around the world emphasizing low penetration, fast growth, low ARPU emerging mobile markets such as in Africa, Middle East and Asia. With software origins they are a part of the Italian Acatel Group which did an IPO in 2000 and are moving up the supply chain to providing value added services for operators.

Their product portfolio includes SMSc's, MMSc's, as well as a Media Resource Server with rating and charging funtionality interfacing with all major billing services.

Strategically Jinny Software has been very successful in leveraging their current customer base of operators in developing countries and organically growing into new markets. Translation: serve as a trusted agent to operators  especially those with low ARPU's who are still cobling together revenue earning platforms for bottom of the pyramid markets, and you can capture a handsome revenue source, even in overlooked markets. Following a contrarian strategy by stepping down to simpified solution services instead of the high value smart phone hyped tip of the pyramid (reading iPhone stratosphere which is the black hole of hype), Jinny's value proposition focuses on growing operator ARPU, cost efficiencies and innovative applications in order to extract more value for existing traffic. A new theater which they are harvesting is a migration to advertising with a twist--advertising on the terms of their market parameters. Not Click to Action, or other high function demands of tip of the pyramid, but advertising suitable for the developing southern hemisphere of the world, read Africa, middle Asia and Latin America.

Jinny will be announcing at the Mobile World Congress the successful trial of an SMS advertising solution that will underpin new revenue streams for the mobile conglomerate Zain, starting in their Jordan property this year. The solution provides the capability to deliver advertisements over SMS messaging from any advertiser or agency. This solution gives Zain in Jordan the ability to take an early and strong position in an industry that is expected to earn US$18 billion by 2011

Built on Jinny’s proven technologies in messaging and filtering, the Advertising Engine has the power to deliver tailored advertising in a variety of ways. Whether an advertisement should be inserted into peer-to-peer messaging traffic or as a pre-page video clip, the Advertising Engine – thanks to sophisticated keyword and profile matching – can ensure the advert is relevant and useful to its audience, the consumer. Built to deliver tailored, targeted advertising that consumers want, as opposed to spam, the Advertising Engine is poised to meet the growth and ARPU-increase needs of operators this year and into the future.

Max Wilkie, CEO of Jinny Software, advised me in our interview, “We are once again delighted to be able to deliver a world-class solution to the Zain Group. With the Advertising Engine from Jinny, Zain in Jordan is now able to exploit the expanding business of mobile advertising and take advantage of new and sustainable revenue streams. There is no doubt that both Zain in Jordan and Jinny can build on this success to explore other media and messaging solutions to offer an increasingly powerful channel to advertisers.”

Eschewing the models pursued by the likes of the fledgling Admob, Amobee, AdInfust, Third Screen, as well as the Rhino size players Comverse, Acision and Haawie and others, Jinny offers bespoke like solutions for the whimsies of emerging markets that are seeking flexible solutions thus empowering developing the world's operators with easy to use Voice SMS, ring back solutions that act as a meeting mediating filter, and easy to use SMS services appropriate for the lowest rung of the economic ladder. By targeting bread and butter solutions, Jinny offers up the jam by tapping P2P messaging and providing a subsidized ad service enabling resource restricted consumers in developing markets the means to access core SMS technology without spending too much of their hard earned money. Tip of the pyramid users (and many mobile executives) may scoff at the idea of opt in messaging thinking it would go the way of opt in long distance and voice services, but emerging, low ARPU markets provide a plumb opportunity for such services according to Max Wilke, CEO of Jinny. Their services are well suited for networks that are still building out their network layers in markets where the average ARPU barely breaks US$ 10 per month.  Jinny is one to watch.

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